Probabilistic Collapse Analysis of Offshore Structure

This paper proposes a method for probabilistic collapse analysis of an offshore structure. Wave loads are estimated by using Stokes third-order theory and Morison’s formula. Plastic collapsing is evaluated by taking account of the combined load effect to generate the safety margins, using a matrix method. Probabilistically dominant collapse modes are selected through a branch-and-bound method. The proposed method is successfully applied to a jacket-type offshore platform.